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Red63
90058.4
58745.9
486123.3
Blue87
482923.7
153332.7
456134.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771000501506387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+8
Endgame+26
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +6
11Coral scored#8
39Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
49Total teleop43
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
2Foul points0
63Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#11
45.91.3
30.929.6
Auto5.9
Teleop39.0
End1.0
red by 11.4
34.40.1
29.129.0
Auto8.2
Teleop24.7
End1.5
Second
4861
#16
23.31.3
18.517.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End7.3
blue by 9.4
32.70.1
28.928.8
Auto6.2
Teleop20.3
End6.2
Third
9005
#28
8.41.3
20.319.0
Auto1.5
Teleop4.5
End2.4
blue by 15.3
23.70.1
27.327.2
Auto4.4
Teleop16.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned