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Red107
58745.9
789028.7
915020.1
Blue49
624214.0
368010.8
663919.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7764010015020025030010749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+54Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave3
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +34
14Coral scored#9
52Coral points34
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
12Processor points0
16Net points12
28Algae points12
80Total teleop46
Reef
5L4#2
6L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#12
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
107Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#11
45.93.6
29.633.2
Auto5.9
Teleop39.0
End1.0
red by 26.5
6639
#18
19.41.6
22.120.5
Auto4.0
Teleop12.8
End2.5
Second
7890
#20
28.73.6
23.527.1
Auto7.4
Teleop20.6
End0.7
red by 14.8
6242
#22
14.01.6
15.714.1
Auto0.8
Teleop9.1
End4.1
Third
9150
#19
20.13.6
12.516.1
Auto1.9
Teleop16.3
End1.9
red by 9.3
3680
#21
10.81.6
17.916.3
Auto1.8
Teleop8.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed