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Red81
68887.2
915020.1
456134.4
Blue51
929814.4
368010.8
842925.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52460204060801001208151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +25
12Coral scored#7
43Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
59Total teleop34
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
2Foul points0
81Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.43.4
25.328.7
Auto8.2
Teleop24.7
End1.5
red by 9.1
25.31.0
20.021.0
Auto6.9
Teleop16.1
End2.4
Second
9150
#19
20.13.4
16.920.4
Auto1.9
Teleop16.3
End1.9
red by 5.7
9298
#29
14.41.0
8.19.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.0
Third
6888
#30
7.23.4
6.09.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop6.4
End1.4
blue by 3.6
3680
#21
10.81.0
13.514.6
Auto1.8
Teleop8.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed