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Red53
90058.4
368010.8
650235.9
Blue36
95596.2
486123.3
68887.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463702060801001205336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+23Teleop
+15Endgame
+17Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +23
8Coral scored#3
27Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
39Total teleop16
Reef
2L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
2Foul points0
53Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#17
35.91.1
25.726.8
Auto8.3
Teleop25.7
End1.9
red by 12.6
4861
#16
23.30.2
19.119.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End7.3
Second
3680
#21
10.81.1
9.310.4
Auto1.8
Teleop8.9
End0.1
red by 3.6
6888
#30
7.20.2
5.96.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop6.4
End1.4
Third
9005
#28
8.41.1
4.75.7
Auto1.5
Teleop4.5
End2.4
red by 2.2
9559
#26
6.20.2
9.19.3
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned