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Red133
479543.3
929814.4
58745.9
Blue72
915020.1
789028.7
122516.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108675015020013372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+57Teleop
+55Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points10
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +43
15Coral scored#12
55Coral points42
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
24Processor points6
16Net points4
40Algae points10
95Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#4
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +61
6Foul points0
133Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#11
45.90.6
42.943.6
Auto5.9
Teleop39.0
End1.0
red by 17.1
7890
#20
28.70.1
28.228.3
Auto7.4
Teleop20.6
End0.7
Second
43.30.6
40.441.1
Auto11.2
Teleop31.0
End1.1
red by 23.2
9150
#19
20.10.1
19.619.7
Auto1.9
Teleop16.3
End1.9
Third
9298
#29
14.40.6
11.512.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.0
blue by 2.4
1225
#13
16.80.1
16.316.4
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End2.7