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Red216
949679.0
272434.0
90068.4
Blue174
153354.6
650251.1
453450.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198163100150250216174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+32Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave0
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points30
54Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +8
27Coral scored#29
98Coral points106
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
24Processor points12
24Net points20
48Algae points32
146Total teleop138
Reef
16L4#11
6L3#13
9L2#7
6L1 · trough#4
47Game pieces#42
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
216Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.00.6
78.479.0
Auto21.7
Teleop50.5
End6.8
red by 24.4
1533
#10
54.60.2
54.454.6
Auto12.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
Second
900
#3
68.40.6
67.868.4
Auto16.5
Teleop50.0
End1.9
red by 17.3
6502
#22
51.10.2
50.851.1
Auto8.3
Teleop41.9
End0.9
Third
2724
#17
34.00.6
33.434.0
Auto8.0
Teleop20.6
End5.4
blue by 16.1
4534
#31
50.10.2
49.850.1
Auto13.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6