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Red112
345928.8
744319.0
949679.0
Blue61
663931.3
551122.9
1026012.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1538405010020011261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+39Teleop
+53Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave3
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points9
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +21
9Coral scored#8
34Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
66Total teleop45
Reef
3L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#14
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points2
112Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.01.6
78.777.1
Auto21.7
Teleop50.5
End6.8
red by 47.8
6639
#29
31.31.7
38.737.0
Auto4.6
Teleop25.7
End1.0
Second
3459
#14
28.81.6
30.028.4
Auto4.8
Teleop17.5
End6.5
red by 5.9
5511
#37
22.91.7
24.723.1
Auto7.4
Teleop14.2
End1.3
Third
7443
#25
19.01.6
20.719.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End2.2
red by 6.7
12.31.7
17.716.0
Auto5.9
Teleop5.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed