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Red223
949679.0
272434.0
90068.4
Blue139
689438.6
874631.8
873854.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19512550100150250223139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+64Teleop
+84Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave9
9Coral scored#3
47Coral points17
47Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +43
24Coral scored#23
88Coral points81
6Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
36Processor points12
28Net points16
64Algae points28
152Total teleop109
Reef
11L4#12
12L3#5
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#32
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +84
0Foul points0
223Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.00.9
76.277.1
Auto21.7
Teleop50.5
End6.8
red by 24.8
8738
#16
54.20.2
53.954.1
Auto12.8
Teleop39.2
End2.2
Second
900
#3
68.40.9
65.666.5
Auto16.5
Teleop50.0
End1.9
red by 29.8
6894
#19
38.60.2
38.338.4
Auto5.6
Teleop31.6
End1.4
Third
2724
#17
34.00.9
31.232.1
Auto8.0
Teleop20.6
End5.4
red by 2.2
31.80.2
31.531.7
Auto5.8
Teleop25.4
End0.6