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Red59
482827.4
1024813.9
99989.7
Blue30
205949.6
345929.4
99949.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6912401002003004005930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto5.7
Teleop20.6
End1.0
blue by 22.2
49.60.0
49.649.6
Auto11.4
Teleop29.1
End9.1
Second
13.90.0
13.913.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 15.6
29.40.0
29.429.4
Auto1.8
Teleop22.2
End5.4
Third
9998
#21
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.0
End0.7
Level
9994
#19
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto odds41%Auto odds
Coral
5%Coral odds7%Coral odds
Barge
15%Barge odds85%Barge odds