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Red34
205949.6
456133.4
99979.7
Blue46
904216.1
873842.4
99939.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131800501001502002503003446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.0
49.649.6
Auto11.4
Teleop29.1
End9.1
red by 7.2
42.40.0
42.442.4
Auto11.3
Teleop29.1
End2.1
Second
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto5.6
Teleop19.8
End7.6
red by 17.3
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8
Third
9997
#18
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.0
End0.7
Level
9993
#17
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto odds54%Auto odds
Coral
11%Coral odds4%Coral odds
Barge
94%Barge odds16%Barge odds