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Red30
481613.5
482921.2
99999.7
Blue95
205949.6
873842.4
99959.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4813501001502002503003095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4829
#11
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto2.7
Teleop16.4
End2.1
blue by 28.3
49.60.0
49.649.6
Auto11.4
Teleop29.1
End9.1
Second
4816
#12
13.50.0
13.513.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 28.8
42.40.0
42.442.4
Auto11.3
Teleop29.1
End2.1
Third
9999
#20
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.0
End0.7
Level
9995
#15
9.70.0
9.79.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto odds76%Auto odds
Coral
2%Coral odds26%Coral odds
Barge
11%Barge odds73%Barge odds