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Red72
482829.5
482924.2
382222.4
Blue100
650037.2
373727.8
978916.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions908205015020025072100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+18
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points26
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +1
11Coral scored#13
41Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
59Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#7
5L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
72Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4828
#15
29.50.6
27.226.7
Auto4.6
Teleop22.8
End2.1
blue by 7.7
37.21.8
31.833.6
Auto7.8
Teleop23.9
End5.5
Second
4829
#16
24.20.6
27.927.4
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End1.7
blue by 3.6
27.81.8
25.227.0
Auto4.1
Teleop15.5
End8.3
Third
22.40.9
25.224.3
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End2.2
red by 5.5
9789
#18
16.91.8
15.917.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned