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Red117
624221.1
900834.9
875817.2
Blue76
929618.4
482924.2
874622.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8473020406010012014016011776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+21Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
16Coral scored#11
58Coral points39
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
78Total teleop63
Reef
8L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#17
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
117Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.92.9
31.934.8
Auto4.6
Teleop26.9
End3.4
red by 10.6
4829
#16
24.20.5
27.327.8
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End1.7
Second
21.12.9
18.821.7
Auto3.1
Teleop11.3
End6.7
blue by 1.8
8746
#11
22.90.5
19.119.6
Auto3.0
Teleop18.7
End1.2
Third
8758
#21
17.22.9
14.417.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End3.8
blue by 1.2
9296
#20
18.40.9
14.014.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed