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Red76
382222.4
650037.2
651215.7
Blue98
600423.8
456141.9
205941.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75107501507698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+20
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
19Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +19
10Coral scored#11
35Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
43Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
76Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.2
33.533.7
Auto7.8
Teleop23.9
End5.5
blue by 4.7
41.90.1
38.738.8
Auto8.5
Teleop27.0
End6.4
Second
22.40.3
22.823.1
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End2.2
blue by 18.6
2059
#17
41.00.1
35.535.6
Auto8.2
Teleop30.4
End2.4
Third
6512
#19
15.70.3
16.616.9
Auto3.0
Teleop8.0
End4.6
blue by 8.1
6004
#10
23.80.1
21.822.0
Auto5.1
Teleop17.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsEarned