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Red109
382222.4
650037.2
929618.4
Blue95
830415.7
1007223.3
453440.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions827720406010012014016010995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+4
+8Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +15
11Coral scored#14
41Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
59Total teleop74
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#7
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
6Foul points0
109Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.21.4
33.735.1
Auto7.8
Teleop23.9
End5.5
blue by 3.3
40.51.6
33.134.7
Auto10.7
Teleop26.9
End3.0
Second
22.42.0
23.125.1
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End2.2
blue by 1.0
23.31.1
23.124.2
Auto5.3
Teleop16.2
End1.9
Third
9296
#20
18.42.2
14.817.0
Auto4.3
Teleop12.2
End1.9
red by 2.7
8304
#25
15.71.5
11.012.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed