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Red77
600423.8
1035411.9
456141.9
Blue50
482829.5
624011.5
624221.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7859020401001201407750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+27Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +26
9Coral scored#5
34Coral points18
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
0Processor points6
16Net points0
16Algae points6
50Total teleop24
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
77Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.90.4
38.839.3
Auto8.5
Teleop27.0
End6.4
red by 12.4
4828
#15
29.50.3
25.324.9
Auto4.6
Teleop22.8
End2.1
Second
6004
#10
23.80.4
22.022.4
Auto5.1
Teleop17.2
End1.5
red by 2.6
21.10.3
20.920.5
Auto3.1
Teleop11.3
End6.7
Third
11.90.6
9.710.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End2.7
red by 0.4
6240
#24
11.50.3
8.98.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsEarned