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Red85
929618.4
33368.0
929728.6
Blue77
482924.2
551116.6
373727.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6381020401001201408577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+18Teleop
+10Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +22
12Coral scored#8
42Coral points28
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
70Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points2
85Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9297
#14
28.60.9
29.130.0
Auto4.8
Teleop21.3
End2.5
red by 0.8
27.80.7
27.126.4
Auto4.1
Teleop15.5
End8.3
Second
9296
#20
18.41.0
17.018.0
Auto4.3
Teleop12.2
End1.9
blue by 5.8
4829
#16
24.20.7
26.325.6
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End1.7
Third
3336
#28
8.01.0
10.511.5
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.8
blue by 8.6
16.60.7
16.315.7
Auto4.7
Teleop10.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned