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Red93
650037.2
1035411.9
820519.1
Blue56
591914.0
382222.4
33368.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745802040801001201409356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+45Teleop
+43Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +38
14Coral scored#6
51Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
73Total teleop35
Reef
8L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points6
93Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.21.3
34.936.2
Auto7.8
Teleop23.9
End5.5
red by 14.9
22.40.9
23.122.2
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End2.2
Second
8205
#27
19.11.5
16.017.4
Auto4.3
Teleop13.7
End1.1
red by 5.1
5919
#26
14.00.8
14.814.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Third
11.91.5
10.411.9
Auto2.5
Teleop6.7
End2.7
red by 3.9
3336
#28
8.01.0
9.18.1
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed