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Red116
900834.9
650037.2
830415.7
Blue125
482924.2
929728.6
874622.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9591406080120140160180116125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+5
+5Endgame
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +19
15Coral scored#19
55Coral points70
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
79Total teleop98
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#8
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points14
116Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.4
36.236.5
Auto7.8
Teleop23.9
End5.5
red by 8.6
9297
#14
28.60.4
30.631.0
Auto4.8
Teleop21.3
End2.5
Second
34.90.4
33.834.2
Auto4.6
Teleop26.9
End3.4
red by 10.6
4829
#16
24.20.4
26.226.6
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End1.7
Third
8304
#25
15.70.4
14.715.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.6
End0.4
blue by 7.2
8746
#11
22.90.4
24.925.3
Auto3.0
Teleop18.7
End1.2