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Red70
482924.2
929728.6
874622.9
Blue51
624221.1
600423.8
875817.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10374501507051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+15Teleop
+7Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points18
9Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +24
8Coral scored#4
29Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
43Total teleop19
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +19
12Foul points0
70Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9297
#14
28.60.6
31.030.4
Auto4.8
Teleop21.3
End2.5
red by 4.8
6004
#10
23.80.3
24.023.8
Auto5.1
Teleop17.2
End1.5
Second
4829
#16
24.20.6
26.626.0
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End1.7
red by 3.1
21.10.3
21.421.1
Auto3.1
Teleop11.3
End6.7
Third
8746
#11
22.90.6
25.324.7
Auto3.0
Teleop18.7
End1.2
red by 5.7
8758
#21
17.20.3
17.517.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End3.8