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Red117
58739.2
453436.2
872729.9
Blue62
153342.3
126232.6
900511.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1148905015020025030035011762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+37Teleop
+49Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave3
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points3
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +13
13Coral scored#9
45Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
65Total teleop52
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#3
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +55
6Foul points0
117Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#1
39.20.2
38.338.5
Auto9.6
Teleop25.4
End4.1
blue by 3.1
42.30.5
41.941.4
Auto10.5
Teleop26.1
End5.7
Second
4534
#12
36.20.2
35.435.5
Auto9.6
Teleop24.7
End2.0
red by 3.6
32.60.5
32.331.8
Auto3.5
Teleop28.3
End0.7
Third
29.90.2
29.029.2
Auto8.8
Teleop19.8
End1.2
red by 18.7
9005
#14
11.20.5
10.810.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End1.2