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Red63
453436.2
36809.4
153342.3
Blue7
12255.9
900511.2
264011.6
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12220050100150200250637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+46Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
1Coral scored#0
4Coral points0
13Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +36
7Coral scored#0
26Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
36Total teleop0
Reef
3L4#0
3L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#0
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
63Total score7

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.32.1
43.641.5
Auto10.5
Teleop26.1
End5.7
red by 30.7
2640
#21
11.61.7
14.813.2
Auto1.6
Teleop9.0
End1.0
Second
4534
#12
36.22.1
41.639.5
Auto9.6
Teleop24.7
End2.0
red by 25.1
9005
#14
11.21.7
8.16.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Third
3680
#10
9.42.1
9.37.2
Auto2.4
Teleop6.1
End0.9
red by 3.6
1225
#13
5.91.7
9.07.4
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed