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Red61
350619.6
929818.8
688819.3
Blue19
264011.6
693215.4
560712.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68760501001502002506119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+42Teleop
+48Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +36
9Coral scored#1
32Coral points4
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
40Total teleop4
Reef
5L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#2
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points6
61Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.60.2
13.813.6
Auto2.9
Teleop14.5
End2.2
red by 4.2
6932
#19
15.43.5
23.119.6
Auto1.7
Teleop7.6
End6.2
Second
6888
#22
19.30.2
22.222.0
Auto2.0
Teleop13.2
End4.2
red by 6.5
12.93.5
16.513.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End0.2
Third
9298
#17
18.80.2
22.121.9
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End3.1
red by 7.2
2640
#21
11.63.5
23.419.9
Auto1.6
Teleop9.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned