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Red102
58747.6
99712.0
350613.8
Blue35
519012.9
1007720.2
9973-2.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions723405010015010235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+41Teleop
+49Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
4Coral points0
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
11Coral scored#4
38Coral points14
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
62Total teleop22
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#6
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +67
18Foul points0
102Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#1
47.60.4
47.748.2
Auto10.6
Teleop32.1
End4.8
red by 27.5
20.20.1
20.220.3
Auto5.7
Teleop13.2
End1.1
Second
13.80.4
13.914.3
Auto1.8
Teleop8.4
End3.4
red by 0.8
12.90.1
13.013.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Third
9971
#12
2.00.7
2.22.9
Auto-1.0
Teleop4.6
End-1.2
red by 4.2
9973
#11
-2.20.1
-2.1-2.0
Auto0.5
Teleop-1.7
End-0.6