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Red30
998210.0
264023.4
9973-2.2
Blue57
58747.6
519012.9
9976-2.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36760501001502003057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+31
Endgame+31
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
3Coral scored#7
9Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
17Total teleop35
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#3
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
6Foul points2
30Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.6
23.422.9
Auto1.9
Teleop18.7
End2.6
blue by 24.2
587
#1
47.60.3
47.547.3
Auto10.6
Teleop32.1
End4.8
Second
10.00.8
10.19.2
Auto1.8
Teleop6.0
End2.1
blue by 2.9
12.90.3
13.413.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Third
9973
#11Sur
-2.20.9
-1.0-1.9
Auto0.5
Teleop-1.7
End-0.6
blue by 0.1
9976
#13Sur
-2.10.5
-1.6-2.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop-1.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
5%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed