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Red34
58747.6
663915.0
9972-3.7
Blue35
264023.4
1007720.2
99751.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions934901502003435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+1
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +3
6Coral scored#5
21Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
25Total teleop22
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
2Foul points6
34Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#1
47.63.1
52.349.3
Auto10.6
Teleop32.1
End4.8
red by 24.2
23.41.7
28.827.1
Auto1.9
Teleop18.7
End2.6
Second
15.03.1
24.821.8
Auto2.7
Teleop11.3
End0.8
blue by 5.2
20.21.7
25.123.4
Auto5.7
Teleop13.2
End1.1
Third
9972
#10Sur
-3.75.1
0.9-4.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop-2.5
End-0.3
blue by 4.8
9975
#14Sur
1.12.8
0.5-2.4
Auto1.3
Teleop0.8
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed