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Red46
9974-5.4
663915.0
264023.4
Blue49
519012.9
1007720.2
9973-2.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303702060801001201401604649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+9Teleop
+9Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
6Coral scored#4
20Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
30Total teleop18
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +3
6Foul points18
46Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.2
23.323.4
Auto1.9
Teleop18.7
End2.6
red by 3.3
20.20.0
20.220.2
Auto5.7
Teleop13.2
End1.1
Second
15.00.2
14.815.0
Auto2.7
Teleop11.3
End0.8
red by 2.0
12.90.0
12.912.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Third
9974
#15
-5.40.3
-5.7-5.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop-4.3
End0.0
blue by 3.2
9973
#11
-2.20.0
-2.2-2.2
Auto0.5
Teleop-1.7
End-0.6