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Red157
879342.8
641857.2
947053.2
Blue149
84043.7
84160.2
903841.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141158050100200250300157149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+24Teleop
+14Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave9
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points16
33Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +16
20Coral scored#18
72Coral points66
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#2
12Processor points18
24Net points8
36Algae points26
108Total teleop92
Reef
9L4#8
7L3#7
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points6
157Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.21.4
48.449.8
Auto18.1
Teleop33.2
End5.9
blue by 3.0
841
#9
60.20.5
56.656.1
Auto12.4
Teleop40.3
End7.5
Second
53.21.4
49.150.5
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End1.7
red by 9.5
840
#10
43.70.5
46.345.8
Auto5.4
Teleop33.6
End4.7
Third
8793
#15
42.81.4
38.439.8
Auto10.5
Teleop27.7
End4.6
red by 1.6
9038
#14
41.30.5
48.347.7
Auto12.5
Teleop28.8
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned58%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
11%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned