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Red215
84665.1
801630.8
541962.2
Blue189
550758.0
641857.2
220436.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157158100120140180200220215189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+24Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
8Coral scored#10
41Coral points48
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +31
26Coral scored#19
95Coral points70
3Processor algae#4
8Net algae#5
18Processor points24
32Net points20
50Algae points44
145Total teleop114
Reef
11L4#10
11L3#11
6L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#38
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
215Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#4
65.11.4
62.764.2
Auto16.1
Teleop42.6
End6.5
red by 7.1
58.00.9
57.158.0
Auto20.3
Teleop28.8
End8.9
Second
62.21.4
59.861.3
Auto16.5
Teleop37.0
End8.7
red by 5.0
57.20.9
56.357.2
Auto18.1
Teleop33.2
End5.9
Third
8016
#19
30.81.4
28.529.9
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End2.3
blue by 5.9
2204
#24
36.70.9
35.836.7
Auto8.8
Teleop25.9
End2.1