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Red76
95598.7
350631.2
776330.9
Blue88
1007721.4
58751.6
572739.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621060501507688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+22
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +19
12Coral scored#15
42Coral points55
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
54Total teleop73
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#4
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
76Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#12
31.20.9
28.329.2
Auto4.1
Teleop21.4
End5.7
blue by 20.4
587
#3
51.60.4
44.844.4
Auto8.6
Teleop41.5
End1.5
Second
7763
#24
30.90.9
27.128.0
Auto5.3
Teleop24.1
End1.6
blue by 9.0
5727
#10
39.90.4
31.731.3
Auto5.7
Teleop32.8
End1.5
Third
9559
#28
8.70.9
7.07.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 12.7
21.40.6
16.916.3
Auto4.6
Teleop15.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed