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Red54
789024.5
1010718.4
572739.9
Blue23
1030417.2
693223.1
929817.3
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88610501001505423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+29Teleop
+25Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
5Coral scored#3
18Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
32Total teleop10
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
6Foul points0
54Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5727
#10
39.91.6
33.331.7
Auto5.7
Teleop32.8
End1.5
red by 16.9
6932
#17
23.11.9
20.618.8
Auto2.1
Teleop13.4
End7.6
Second
7890
#14
24.51.6
28.727.1
Auto5.3
Teleop18.2
End1.1
red by 7.2
9298
#18
17.31.9
14.412.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End1.4
Third
18.41.6
10.68.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.9
End2.3
red by 1.2
17.21.9
15.713.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed