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Red174
900512.7
789024.5
949681.2
Blue53
97249.9
693223.1
688822.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1343905010015020017453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+93Teleop
+85Endgame
+121Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +76
20Coral scored#5
71Coral points19
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
99Total teleop23
Reef
10L4#2
6L3#2
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +121
36Foul points0
174Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.21.4
70.972.2
Auto18.3
Teleop55.7
End7.2
red by 58.1
6932
#17
23.10.0
19.119.1
Auto2.1
Teleop13.4
End7.6
Second
7890
#14
24.51.4
26.928.3
Auto5.3
Teleop18.2
End1.1
red by 2.3
22.20.0
12.512.5
Auto2.0
Teleop15.3
End4.9
Third
9005
#23
12.71.4
8.09.4
Auto1.5
Teleop9.3
End1.9
red by 2.8
9724
#27
9.90.0
10.910.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned