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Red137
493520.7
1030417.2
949681.2
Blue73
58751.6
95598.7
368013.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1266105010015020013773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+52Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave9
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points7
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +35
17Coral scored#11
62Coral points39
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
12Processor points12
16Net points4
28Algae points16
90Total teleop55
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#3
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
137Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.21.2
73.374.5
Auto18.3
Teleop55.7
End7.2
red by 29.5
587
#3
51.60.1
45.745.8
Auto8.6
Teleop41.5
End1.5
Second
4935
#11
20.71.2
18.319.5
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End2.9
red by 7.6
3680
#21
13.00.1
7.98.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End0.8
Third
17.21.2
15.616.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End1.3
red by 8.5
9559
#28
8.70.1
7.17.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned12%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed