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Red47
900512.7
688822.2
95598.7
Blue90
493520.7
322923.2
272429.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207304060801001201404790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+21
Endgame+33
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +14
8Coral scored#10
28Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
32Total teleop46
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
2Foul points12
47Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.9
7.28.1
Auto2.0
Teleop15.3
End4.9
blue by 7.2
2724
#13
29.40.5
23.624.1
Auto7.5
Teleop19.4
End2.6
Second
9005
#23
12.70.9
8.49.2
Auto1.5
Teleop9.3
End1.9
blue by 10.5
23.20.5
20.621.1
Auto4.9
Teleop16.9
End1.4
Third
9559
#28
8.70.9
6.27.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 12.0
4935
#11
20.70.5
14.314.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
6%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsEarned