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Red180
90051.1
453445.3
672921.0
Blue84
1026015.9
820514.4
333615.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1214105010015020018084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+98Teleop
+96Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave6
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points6
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +73
28Coral scored#12
99Coral points44
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
24Processor points6
16Net points16
40Algae points22
139Total teleop66
Reef
12L4#5
13L3#3
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
43Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +96
0Foul points0
180Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#3
51.14.0
43.447.4
Auto13.1
Teleop36.3
End1.8
red by 35.2
15.91.4
14.716.1
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End1.6
Second
45.34.0
40.544.5
Auto14.8
Teleop28.5
End1.9
red by 30.1
3336
#18
15.11.4
11.112.5
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Third
6729
#23
21.04.0
14.518.5
Auto2.1
Teleop17.9
End1.1
red by 6.6
8205
#29
14.41.4
14.615.9
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed