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Qual 52025 FNC District UNC Pembroke Event
Red73
1058320.6
972412.0
1030221.6
Blue71
904216.1
830421.7
382219.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62583040507080901007371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+4
Endgame+6
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
12Coral scored#12
44Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
58Total teleop56
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
8Foul points0
73Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10302
#6
21.60.1
16.7→16.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.5
End1.9
Level
8304
#15
21.70.0
15.7→15.8
Auto5.4
Teleop15.0
End1.3
Second
10583
#21
20.60.1
17.8→17.7
Auto4.0
Teleop14.5
End2.1
red by 1.3
3822
#22
19.30.0
22.4→22.4
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End1.7
Third
9724
#9
12.00.1
9.9→9.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.3
blue by 4.1
9042
#20
16.10.0
11.6→11.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed