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Red74
264027.3
481613.5
978812.8
Blue80
382219.3
90051.1
334914.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions479601507480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+4
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave3
3Coral scored#4
15Coral points20
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +4
9Coral scored#10
33Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
55Total teleop51
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
74Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2640
#11
27.31.9
23.225.1
Auto3.7
Teleop21.9
End1.7
blue by 23.8
900
#3
51.10.4
52.051.7
Auto13.1
Teleop36.3
End1.8
Second
13.51.9
11.713.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 5.8
3822
#22
19.30.4
19.118.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End1.7
Third
9788
#31
12.81.9
10.912.8
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End1.3
blue by 1.8
3349
#14
14.60.4
14.313.9
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed