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Red101
651226.2
830421.7
1058320.6
Blue65
672921.0
820514.4
929619.3
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9177406010012014010165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+14Teleop
+24Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave9
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points7
18Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +12
10Coral scored#9
35Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
57Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
12Foul points0
101Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.5
25.626.0
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End7.2
red by 5.2
6729
#23
21.00.1
21.621.5
Auto2.1
Teleop17.9
End1.1
Second
8304
#15
21.70.5
21.321.7
Auto5.4
Teleop15.0
End1.3
red by 2.4
9296
#19
19.30.1
19.419.3
Auto5.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Third
20.60.5
20.220.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.5
End2.1
red by 6.2
8205
#29
14.40.1
14.013.9
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned7%Barge oddsMissed