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Red115
382219.3
903234.3
453445.3
Blue73
689435.6
904216.1
264027.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1098120406010012014016018011573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+34Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave0
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points12
40Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +6
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
67Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#5
7L3#3
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#18
BargeRed +8
8Cage & park0
8Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
115Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.4
45.045.4
Auto14.8
Teleop28.5
End1.9
red by 9.7
35.60.0
34.034.0
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End0.7
Second
9032
#17
34.30.4
34.034.4
Auto8.0
Teleop25.4
End0.9
red by 7.0
2640
#11
27.30.0
25.825.8
Auto3.7
Teleop21.9
End1.7
Third
3822
#22
19.30.4
19.019.4
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End1.7
red by 3.3
9042
#20
16.10.0
14.514.5
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8