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Red78
326026.1
265619.6
965310.3
Blue93
751530.1
919418.8
499127.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66920501502002507893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+21
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +25
10Coral scored#16
37Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
55Total teleop80
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +15
6Foul points0
78Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.0
25.225.2
Auto6.0
Teleop15.0
End5.1
blue by 3.9
7515
#15
30.10.0
29.729.6
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End5.2
Second
2656
#12
19.60.0
18.618.6
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End1.0
blue by 8.1
27.60.0
27.327.2
Auto7.5
Teleop20.3
End-0.2
Third
9653
#18
10.30.0
9.39.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3
blue by 8.5
9194
#21
18.80.0
18.418.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.5
End2.5