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Red111
903231.6
51908.0
205931.9
Blue97
744314.2
486133.0
90039.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions699405015011197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+18Teleop
+20Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +7
13Coral scored#14
45Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
77Total teleop70
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points6
111Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.91.0
30.831.9
Auto5.9
Teleop24.8
End1.2
blue by 7.4
900
#2
39.30.1
39.239.3
Auto8.7
Teleop28.2
End2.3
Second
31.60.9
30.631.6
Auto8.1
Teleop22.2
End1.2
blue by 1.4
33.00.1
32.933.0
Auto5.8
Teleop19.0
End8.3
Third
5190
#30
8.00.9
7.18.0
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End2.0
blue by 6.2
7443
#27
14.20.1
14.114.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End1.9