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Red19
97887.8
1030216.7
1012111.7
Blue103
560711.7
873835.3
90039.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5791015020019103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+64
Endgame+66
Fouls+84
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +57
2Coral scored#14
6Coral points49
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
6Total teleop63
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#5
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +84
0Foul points18
19Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.77.6
21.614.0
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End1.0
blue by 22.6
900
#2
39.30.6
27.327.9
Auto8.7
Teleop28.2
End2.3
Second
11.73.1
17.114.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End1.4
blue by 23.6
35.30.6
27.428.0
Auto7.3
Teleop25.6
End2.4
Third
9788
#32
7.83.8
17.613.8
Auto2.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
blue by 3.9
5607
#29
11.70.6
21.922.5
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned