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Red81
591915.2
1026014.7
516022.9
Blue69
875812.7
978915.1
345918.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705502040801001201408169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +16
14Coral scored#8
52Coral points28
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
64Total teleop48
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +12
2Foul points0
81Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5160
#20
22.90.3
22.522.8
Auto3.1
Teleop18.5
End1.3
red by 4.6
3459
#16
18.30.1
18.118.3
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.4
Second
5919
#17
15.20.3
14.815.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End2.2
red by 0.1
15.10.1
14.915.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.0
End1.1
Third
14.70.3
14.314.6
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
red by 2.0
8758
#14
12.70.1
12.512.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7