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Red120
723521.1
725735.7
534842.7
Blue118
87662.2
310230.5
858623.9
19%Model gave it81%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80112050100150120118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+10
Endgame+12
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +4
15Coral scored#14
54Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
76Total teleop72
Reef
5L4#7
7L3#5
5L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
14Foul points0
120Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.72.7
28.831.6
Auto7.2
Teleop29.3
End6.2
blue by 19.6
876
#3
62.20.9
52.353.2
Auto14.6
Teleop39.8
End7.8
Second
7257
#34
35.72.7
25.528.2
Auto6.9
Teleop22.7
End6.1
red by 5.3
3102
#22
30.51.2
24.926.1
Auto8.3
Teleop18.2
End4.0
Third
7235
#30
21.12.0
18.120.1
Auto2.5
Teleop12.8
End5.8
blue by 2.8
8586
#33
23.91.2
16.217.4
Auto4.1
Teleop15.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned