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Red133
419827.9
313427.8
87662.2
Blue99
310230.5
614642.5
704826.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1208005010015020013399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+14Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
17Coral scored#19
61Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
89Total teleop86
Reef
10L4#7
4L3#7
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#24
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
133Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#3
62.21.3
53.254.5
Auto14.6
Teleop39.8
End7.8
red by 19.8
42.51.4
32.533.9
Auto5.6
Teleop32.5
End4.4
Second
4198
#28
27.92.0
23.625.6
Auto5.0
Teleop16.4
End6.6
blue by 2.5
3102
#22
30.51.4
26.127.5
Auto8.3
Teleop18.2
End4.0
Third
3134
#15
27.82.0
27.129.1
Auto4.9
Teleop20.9
End2.0
red by 1.1
7048
#41
26.70.9
16.617.5
Auto6.0
Teleop15.7
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed