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Red129
957634.0
212954.8
453927.8
Blue123
614642.5
546432.0
525336.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10493406080120140160129123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+16Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave0
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
21Coral scored#16
75Coral points56
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
6Processor points18
12Net points24
18Algae points42
93Total teleop98
Reef
11L4#5
5L3#6
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
129Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#13
54.82.8
33.135.9
Auto15.2
Teleop38.2
End1.4
red by 12.3
42.53.1
27.430.6
Auto5.6
Teleop32.5
End4.4
Second
9576
#16
34.02.8
26.329.1
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End2.4
blue by 2.8
5253
#14
36.72.5
28.831.4
Auto3.6
Teleop31.1
End2.0
Third
27.82.8
30.132.9
Auto6.2
Teleop17.8
End3.8
blue by 4.2
5464
#17
32.03.1
24.627.8
Auto4.3
Teleop20.5
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned