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Red95
436033.1
818821.4
723521.1
Blue148
467434.4
525336.7
87727.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions729002040608010012014016095148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+37
Endgame+47
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +30
16Coral scored#21
58Coral points74
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
72Total teleop102
Reef
8L4#11
4L3#6
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points6
95Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4360
#19
33.11.3
27.128.4
Auto4.0
Teleop26.4
End2.7
blue by 3.6
5253
#14
36.73.5
30.233.7
Auto3.6
Teleop31.1
End2.0
Second
8188
#43
21.42.1
17.119.2
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End3.0
blue by 13.0
4674
#18
34.43.5
31.034.4
Auto4.9
Teleop21.6
End7.8
Third
7235
#30
21.11.3
16.918.1
Auto2.5
Teleop12.8
End5.8
blue by 5.8
877
#24
27.05.8
12.618.4
Auto6.7
Teleop16.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned