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Red74
310230.5
329818.9
327522.8
Blue61
565822.8
298732.3
331332.9
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69810501001507461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +9
8Coral scored#6
28Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
36Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
18Foul points0
74Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#22
30.50.7
25.624.9
Auto8.3
Teleop18.2
End4.0
blue by 2.5
3313
#20
32.91.1
22.121.0
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End3.9
Second
3275
#27
22.80.7
21.921.1
Auto3.9
Teleop16.9
End2.1
blue by 9.5
2987
#21
32.31.1
30.028.9
Auto5.2
Teleop25.1
End2.0
Third
3298
#31
18.90.6
14.914.4
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End1.7
blue by 3.9
5658
#47
22.81.1
18.517.4
Auto4.5
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed