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Red125
418127.4
87727.0
957634.0
Blue103
704826.7
565822.8
330020.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions976920406080120140160125103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+20Teleop
+10Endgame
+22Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +20
14Coral scored#11
49Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
81Total teleop61
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
12Foul points0
125Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9576
#16
34.02.4
28.731.2
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End2.4
red by 7.2
7048
#41
26.72.1
22.524.5
Auto6.0
Teleop15.7
End5.1
Second
4181
#11
27.41.7
24.025.7
Auto5.0
Teleop20.8
End1.6
red by 4.6
5658
#47
22.83.0
19.822.8
Auto4.5
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Third
877
#24
27.02.4
24.527.0
Auto6.7
Teleop16.0
End4.3
red by 6.3
3300
#35
20.73.0
17.720.7
Auto2.6
Teleop13.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned