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Red160
329347.2
725735.7
909242.6
Blue185
331332.9
534842.7
212954.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133138050100200250300160185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+37
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +5
0Leave9
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points31
35Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +32
20Coral scored#22
71Coral points79
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#6
6Processor points18
12Net points24
18Algae points42
89Total teleop121
Reef
8L4#10
7L3#7
8L2#8
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#37
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
160Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.20.8
46.447.2
Auto7.0
Teleop31.5
End8.7
blue by 7.6
2129
#13
54.81.6
54.255.8
Auto15.2
Teleop38.2
End1.4
Second
9092
#10
42.61.0
41.642.6
Auto9.9
Teleop25.1
End7.6
blue by 0.1
42.71.6
42.143.7
Auto7.2
Teleop29.3
End6.2
Third
7257
#34
35.71.0
34.735.7
Auto6.9
Teleop22.7
End6.1
red by 2.8
3313
#20
32.91.6
32.433.9
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End3.9